lipid.site
The guided tour

Your guide

Now the big question. Whether medicine is worth it depends on your overall risk and how far your LDL falls. Try a scenario, from diet and exercise alone to a statin, and watch what happens to a hundred people like you.

Room 5 · The Risk Simulator

Do I really need medicine?

About 4 minutes

Guess first

100 people each have a 10% chance of a heart attack or stroke in the next 10 years. They lower LDL by about 50 mg/dL. About how many of those events are prevented?

1. Your starting point

10-year risk of heart attack or stroke: 10%

Don't know yours? Pick a starting point; your clinician can estimate it. What sets it?

2. Try a scenario
3. Or build your own

Medicines

Food and activity

How closely?

What studies see when people stick to the plan closely.

4. Or ask: what if my LDL were 168?
0%7.5%15%50100150200LDL-C (mg/dL)1007055Today

LDL-C

168 → 168

no change

10-year risk

10% → 10.0%

For one to benefit

–

people for 10 years

  • heart attack or stroke anyway: 10
  • prevented by lower LDL: 0
  • neither: 90

Using a sample visitor. Illustration using averages from large trials: about 22% fewer major heart and stroke events for each 39 mg/dL lower LDL-C, applied to the 10-year risk you chose. Food and activity effects on LDL come from NCEP ATP III and the AHA/ACC lifestyle guideline. Real results vary, and this shows benefits only; side effects are in the Myth Lab. Not a personal prediction or medical advice.

Make your guess to turn on the lights